An article on CNNMoney about Greece’s pending decision on exiting the euro (or the “Grexit,” as it is called) brought up a very good question: why isn’t more attention being paid to what the country’s choice will mean for the US? The clock certainly has not stopped ticking and the election that will likely make or break the country’s euro membership is set to take place next month.
Well, the good news is that in terms of trade, the US economy will hardly feel the tremors produced by the potential Grexit threat, should it materialize. Only a meager 0.1% of American exports go to Greece, with 14% going to the euro zone in general. If Europe is shaken by their decision, US trade should come out relatively unscathed.
The place of worry with this situation is actually a bit more speculative. Economists fear that should a Grexit occur, it could trigger big time panic amongst investors, who will then make mad dash bank runs, which in turn will further disrupt the Euro that includes bigger debt-laden countries. How’s that for looming dark cloud syndrome?
With over 20% of all loans that happen in the US coming from European banks, a debt selloff could potentially hinder their willingness to lend. Though US banks have been actively reducing their exposure to peripheral euro zone countries, a great deal more exposure to the wider euro zone in general still remains.
Does this mean the US should really start focusing on a contingency plan should Greece decide to return to the drachma?
View the full article here.
Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.