Posted by Charlie Fell in Market Commentary, tags: capital spending, china, economy, gdp, GFCF, gross domestic savings, hard landing, ICOR, investment, property market
Concerns that the Chinese economy might ‘crash land’ in 2012 ranked high on the list of potential negative tail events that troubled investors in risk assets as they returned to their desks for the New Year. These fears were eased if not removed altogether, once the Middle Kingdom’s National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the economy expanded 8.9 per cent year-on-year during the fourth quarter, comfortably above expectations and far removed from levels of growth that could be considered consistent with a hard economic landing in the immediate future.
However, the positive sentiment generated by the headline numbers would appear …Continue Reading
Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Posted by Shereen Shermak in Forex, Trade Leaders, tags: carry trade, currency pair, DEM/USD, EU debt crisis, EUR/USD, Euro, Europe, Forex, risk, strategy, trading, volatility
We sat with our Currensee Trade Leaders and asked them three questions on volatility, trading strategy and the euro. The interviews give a brief glimpse inside the minds of our traders and shines some light on the coming year. The first post in this series starts off with Gabor Asirikuy Trading.
Currensee Trade Leader Gabor Asirikuy Trading (Ticker: GAFLL.B and GAFLL.C) uses a distinctive automated system that leverages the signals of 10 trend-following trading systems, each leveraging different trading tactics. The system leverages the work of an international trading community that analyzes systems using purely statistical methods, and is built …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
The topic of stops and their placement is a regular theme of discussions among traders and investors. It is pounded into the heads of everyone coming into the markets that you must have a stop to protect against a large loss. This comes mainly from the idea that if you don’t have a stop order in place you will be inclined to let losses run, which is something which happens far too often. This is a big enough problem with market participants that academics have given it a name – the Distribution Effect, which is the tendency to cut …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Posted by Michelle Heath in Weekly News Roundup, tags: debt, Europe, eurozone, greece, hedge funds, jobs, New England Patriots, spain, Super Bowl, US economy
Our Two Cents – Week of 1/23/12
There’s nothing better than kicking off the week on some high notes—especially coming off last night’s victory from the New England Patriots, sending them to the Super Bowl.
In the U.S., optimism remained the key theme last week. Jobless claims dropped 50,000 to 325,000—down from 402,000 last week—marking the lowest level since April 2008 and the biggest drop since September 2005. Experts said the sharp decrease illustrated signs of an upward-ticking economy. According to new survey results, 40 percent of wealthy Americans have optimistic thoughts about the U.S. economy in 2012, the highest level …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Posted by Charlie Fell in Market Commentary, tags: balance sheet, book value, cash, debt, equity markets, financial distress, liquid assets, stocks, tangible assets, Wall Street
Major stock market indices have managed to eke out impressive gains during the first two weeks of the New Year – albeit on relatively low volume – as bearish concerns have failed to dampen investors’ enthusiasm for common stocks.
Amid the large uncertainties that hang over equity markets – from a potential disintegration of the euro-zone to the risk of a hard landing in China – the bulls argue that America’s corporate sector has rarely been in better financial shape and, insist that this strength is not reflected in stock prices. Is such opinion grounded in indisputable fact or just …Continue Reading
Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Do you remember when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) came out with a declaration that it would no longer tolerate EUR/CHF trading below 1.20? That was back in September. That announcement saw the cross rate move up above 1.2400 by October after having been down near the parity level in August, as you can see in the chart below. It’s worth noting from a technical analysis perspective how the market stalled out near the early 2010 lows, but that’s a side discussion at this point.
What we’ve seen in the last few weeks is EUR/GBP dipping down below the range …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Our Two Cents – Week of 1/16/12
While we saw Tom Brady lead the New England Patriots to an outstanding playoff victory, we watched world leaders attempt to continue restoring economic confidence through consumer spending, market performance and fiscal activism.
In the U.S., economic optimism continues to rise as America displays more signs of employment and consumer confidence. The National Retail Federation has predicted that U.S. retail rates will growth 3.4 percent to $2.53 trillion in 2012. NRF President Matthew Shay said Americans should be confident about consumer spending—“Our 2012 forecast is a vote of confidence in the retail industry and …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Posted by Charlie Fell in Market Commentary, tags: black swan, china, eurozone, financial crisis, luck, oil, Persian Gulf, Risk on, Tobin's Q, Warren Buffett
The world’s financial markets have entered the New Year just as they left the last – weighed down by myriad negative influences that threaten to send asset prices into a tailspin. Reasons to be bearish are not hard to find, yet the bulls remain undeterred and continue to argue, albeit unconvincingly, that risk assets will deliver healthy returns in 2012.
The list of potential catastrophes or ‘black swan’ events is unusually high and urges caution. First, the seemingly never-ending crisis in the euro-zone refuses to ease and could well gather in intensity – if not come to a head – …Continue Reading
Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
Posted by John Forman in Market Commentary, Pips Weigh In, tags: 10yr treasury, bonds, correlation, Europe, gold, oil, S&P 500, stocks, USD
One of the things that’s gotten a fair bit of chatter in the press of late has been the idea of a de-coupling between US markets and those in Europe. It is suggested that traders and market participants are taking a comparative look at the two economies and seeing better opportunities in the US, which is leading to better performance for US stocks and also for the dollar. Let’s take a look at the numbers to see how that’s really playing out.
The chart below looks at the correlations between the USD Index and the S&P 500 (red), US 10yr …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
1 Comment »
Our Two Cents – Week of 1/9/12
With the first week of 2012 crossed off the calendar and the Iowa caucus in the past, the one word to describe the start of January—especially in the United States and European financial markets—is optimism.
The U.S. economy added 200,000 jobs, and its unemployment rate fell to 8.5 percent in December (from 8.7 percent in November). These figures paint an initially positive scene that the long-awaited economic recovery is finally making some positive strides. This good news comes on the heels of news earlier in the week about weekly jobless claims which have dropped …Continue Reading
------- Be sure to read the full risk disclosure before trading Forex. Please note that Forex trading involves significant risk of loss. It is not suitable for all investors and you should make sure you understand the risks involved before trading. Performance, strategies and charts shown are not necessarily predictive of any particular result. And, as always, past performance is no indication of future results. Investor returns may vary from Trade Leader returns based on slippage, fees, broker spreads, volatility or other market conditions.
No Comments »
|
Entries (RSS)